Herrestads 1-1 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.63
No
38%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.6pp
38%
BTTS No
43%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.07/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.96
-31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.04.2025 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 2-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
06.08.2023 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 3-2 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 4-1 HT 2-1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
1-1
AWAY FBK Karlstad
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads and FBK Karlstad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FBK Karlstad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Herrestads had 44% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 56%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Herrestads and 2.00 for FBK Karlstad.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs FBK Karlstad?

Herrestads 1-1 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 25%, draw 28%, FBK Karlstad 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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