Paju Citizen 0-4 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.02
-34% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.10.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
16.06.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-2 HT 2-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
08.09.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 2-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
01.05.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen ran out comfortable winners over Paju Citizen 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paju Citizen and 2.00 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?

Paju Citizen 0-4 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 26%, draw 31%, Siheung Citizen 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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