Siheung Citizen 3-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
2.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.92
+52% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.06.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-2 HT 2-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
08.09.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 2-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
01.05.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen cruised past Paju Citizen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Siheung Citizen 3-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 43%, draw 32%, Paju Citizen 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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