Mokpo City 3-2 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.57/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.63
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Pocheon
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
16.06.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 2-4 HT 1-4 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
26.08.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-1 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
30.04.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 2-2 HT 1-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
16.09.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
14.05.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City squeezed past Pocheon 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Mokpo City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Mokpo City and 1.40 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Pocheon?

Mokpo City 3-2 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 35%, draw 30%, Pocheon 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pocheon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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