Gangneung City 1-6 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.02/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.76
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hwaseong
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.06.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
25.06.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
11.03.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 3-0 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
04.09.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
06.05.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-3 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
17.08.2021 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong ran out comfortable winners over Gangneung City 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gangneung City and 1.50 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Hwaseong?

Gangneung City 1-6 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 29%, draw 26%, Hwaseong 46%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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