Avustralya (K) 1-1 Slovenya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
29%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.2pp
30%
Draw
17%
+12.2pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.97/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/2.51
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
547 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
19.2 Crosses 11.0
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Slovenya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.51 xG 2.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
413 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 11
26.06.2025 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Slovenya (K) Slovenya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
1-1
AWAY Slovenya (K)
1.50 xG 1.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
413 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Slovenya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) and Slovenya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Avustralya (K) carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 61% of the ball to Slovenya (K)'s 39%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.50 to 1.93.

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Avustralya (K) 1-1 Slovenya (K) in the Friendlies on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 57%, draw 30%, Slovenya (K) 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avustralya (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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