Spartak Moskova 3-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 17%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.89
+51% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.14 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
369 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.06.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow HAZ
15.04.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
30.10.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
21.03.2015 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.09.2014 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
22.10.2006 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova beat Torpedo Moscow 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.67 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 3-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Friendlies on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 51%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moscow 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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