Juventud vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventud v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Juventud vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Juventud
URU2
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
0-1
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU2
1-2
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU
Juventud 2-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud saw off Progreso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Juventud as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Juventud had 51% of the ball to Progreso's 49%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventud and 1.00 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Juventud vs Progreso?
Juventud 2-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventud vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventud 41%, draw 29%, Progreso 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.