Progreso vs Juventud Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Juventud — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Juventud Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Juventud
URU2
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
0-1
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU2
1-2
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU
Progreso 1-2 Juventud — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud edged past Progreso 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Juventud found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 53% of the ball to Juventud's 47%, shots finished 14-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.80 for Juventud.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Juventud?
Progreso 1-2 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Juventud?
Before kick-off our model rated an Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Progreso 33%, draw 32%, Juventud 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.