Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.55/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.07
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
06.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
12.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
10.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
01.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.67 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 50%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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