CA Penarol 2-1 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.53/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.46
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torque
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.04.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-3 HT 1-2 Torque Torque URUK
19.10.2023 Torque Torque 2-3 HT 2-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.07.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
13.03.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-2 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
25.09.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
24.04.2022 Torque Torque 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-1
AWAY Torque
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol squeezed past Torque 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Penarol had 65% of the ball to Torque's 35%, shots finished 20-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Penarol and 1.33 for Torque.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Torque?

CA Penarol 2-1 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 49%, draw 25%, Torque 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
18 May 2025
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