Cerro Largo 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.09
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
06.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
12.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
10.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
01.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
16.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
0-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 44% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 56%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.50 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Cerro Largo 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 43%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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