Danubio 0-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.12/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-30% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cerro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
11.05.2024 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
12.03.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.11.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
22.02.2021 Danubio Danubio 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-0
AWAY Cerro
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Cerro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Danubio had 56% of the ball to Cerro's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Cerro?

Danubio 0-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Danubio 44%, draw 31%, Cerro 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5
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