Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URUK
3-3
HT 2-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Defensor Sporting 3-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting cruised past Progreso 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 51% of the ball to Progreso's 49%, shots finished 14-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.33 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
Defensor Sporting 3-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 50%, draw 29%, Progreso 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.