Defensor Sporting 1-1 Progreso — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Defensor Sporting The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Progreso The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
Strong Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Progreso
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Progreso Progreso 1-4 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
04.11.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URUK
26.10.2022 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
11.02.2021 Progreso Progreso 3-3 HT 2-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
19.08.2020 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
06.12.2019 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-4 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
AWAY Progreso
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Defensor Sporting and Progreso traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 54% lean on Defensor Sporting didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Defensor Sporting's favour, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Defensor Sporting against 1.83 for Progreso.

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Result & Final Score

Defensor Sporting 1 - 1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 54%, draw 25%, Progreso 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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