Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URUK
3-3
HT 2-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
2-4
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 56% of the ball to Progreso's 44%, shots finished 13-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.83 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 25%, Progreso 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.