Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix
3-1 HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Centro Atletico Fenix v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.05/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.07
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
02.12.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.05.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
12.08.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.07.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
20.02.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-3 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU

Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
3-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix beat Montevideo Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Centro Atletico Fenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 52% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 37%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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