Örgryte 4-2 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.99
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
12%
6.16
X/2
17%
5.47
X/X
16%
4.74
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.13/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
0W-2D-0L
AWAY IK Oddevold
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
08.04.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
07.07.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
4-2
AWAY IK Oddevold
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte saw off IK Oddevold 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Örgryte found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Örgryte had 48% of the ball to IK Oddevold's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Örgryte and 0.00 for IK Oddevold.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs IK Oddevold?

Örgryte 4-2 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 39%, draw 28%, IK Oddevold 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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29 Jul 2024
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