Helsingborgs IF 3-2 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.63
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
14%
6.77
X/2
10%
4.68
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
24%
2.79
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.59/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.32
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Östers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2024 Östers Östers 4-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
27.09.2023 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
04.04.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
26.09.2021 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
15.05.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
27.10.2018 Östers Östers 4-4 HT 1-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF squeezed past Östers 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Östers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 2.17 for Östers.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Östers?

Helsingborgs IF 3-2 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 31%, draw 27%, Östers 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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