River Plate vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
River Plate v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
River Plate vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
River Plate
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-2
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
0-7
HT 0-3
River Plate
ARJ
1-2
HT 1-1
River Plate
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
2-2
HT 2-1
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
River Plate 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
River Plate squeezed past CA Sarmiento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, River Plate had 81% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 19%, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 2.19 to 0.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold River Plate's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for River Plate and 1.00 for CA Sarmiento.
What was the final score of River Plate vs CA Sarmiento?
River Plate 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for River Plate vs CA Sarmiento?
Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split River Plate 59%, draw 21%, CA Sarmiento 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.