Defensa y Justicia 1-3 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

Defensa y Justicia
1-3 HT 0-1
Platense
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Platense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
14%
6.91
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
13%
15.45
X/1
17%
4.11
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
9%
3.22
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Platense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.28
+22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.1 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Defensa y Justicia vs Platense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.26 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
330 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-0 HT 3-0 Platense Platense ARJ
27.08.2023 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
19.03.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
01.10.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.04.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
24.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 1-3 Platense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-3
AWAY Platense
2.45 xG 1.77
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
357 Passes 149
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense beat Defensa y Justicia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 65% of the ball to Platense's 35%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.45 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Defensa y Justicia.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.50 for Platense.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?

Defensa y Justicia 1-3 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 44%, draw 30%, Platense 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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