Defensa y Justicia 3-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
12%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.48
X/2
9%
6.22
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
15%
5.16
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.33/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.13
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.8 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Platense
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.13 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
344 Passes 214
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
19.03.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
01.10.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.04.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
24.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3-0
AWAY Platense
1.92 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
260 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia cruised past Platense 3-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 42% of the ball to Platense's 58%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.92 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.60 for Platense.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?

Defensa y Justicia 3-0 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 36%, draw 34%, Platense 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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