Lanus 0-2 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
6.88
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.81
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
11%
4.79
X/2
16%
5.69
X/X
17%
3.16
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
11%
4.84
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.20/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.16
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.86 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.05.2023 Lanus Lanus 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.08.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
20.09.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-2 HT 1-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
13.04.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-3 HT 1-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
07.12.2020 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 3-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
0-2
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.44 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
289 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys beat Lanus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Lanus had 52% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 48%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lanus.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lanus and 1.83 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?

Lanus 0-2 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Lanus 34%, draw 34%, Newells Old Boys 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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