Leon 1-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 50%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
1-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.19 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leon vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers squeezed past Leon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Portland Timbers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leon had 48% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 52%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Leon vs Portland Timbers?

Leon 1-2 Portland Timbers in the Concacaf League Cup on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leon 36%, draw 27%, Portland Timbers 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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