Pacific FC 0-3 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

Pacific FC
0-3 HT 0-1
Valour
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Pacific FC vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pacific FC v Valour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.53/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.58
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.7 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Pacific FC vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Valour
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-3 HT 1-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
20.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
02.09.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
29.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-3 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
22.06.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
21.05.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL

Pacific FC 0-3 Valour — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
0-3
AWAY Valour
0.91 xG 1.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 187
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour cruised past Pacific FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pacific FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pacific FC had 64% of the ball to Valour's 36%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.91 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pacific FC and 0.67 for Valour.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Valour?

Pacific FC 0-3 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 50%, draw 28%, Valour 22%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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