Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Millonarios
KOLK
2-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Millonarios
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-4
HT 2-3
Millonarios
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 2-1 Millonarios — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera squeezed past Millonarios 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Alianza Petrolera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 39% of the ball to Millonarios's 61%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.50 to 0.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Petrolera's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.00 for Millonarios.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios?
Alianza Petrolera 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios?
Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 28%, Millonarios 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.