Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Libertad
PAR
2-0
HT 1-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
2-1
HT 2-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
1-2
HT 1-2
Libertad
PAR
Libertad 1-2 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Libertad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Libertad had 60% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 40%, shots finished 14-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad 1-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Libertad 54%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.