Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Jul 2024

Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 HT 0-0
Cracovia Krakow
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.85
X/1
22%
3.58
X/2
6%
13.65
X/X
8%
6.03
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
7%
11.0
2/X
6%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.02/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.95
+4% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.0 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.03
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
407 Passes 172
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
06.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
25.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.03.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-1 HT 1-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
03.09.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-0 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
08.05.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.45 xG 0.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
369 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 4
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow edged past Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rakow Czestochowa carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 59% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 41%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.45 to 0.02 — on chances, Rakow Czestochowa could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.33 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia Krakow?

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 60%, draw 21%, Cracovia Krakow 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ BTTS No
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