Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 May 2024

Cracovia Krakow
2-0 HT 1-0
Rakow Czestochowa
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.88
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
14%
6.79
X/2
16%
4.67
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.89
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.25
Value flag · 2/X at 13.25 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.34/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.93
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
19.4 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
213 Passes 389
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
25.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.03.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-1 HT 1-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
03.09.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-0 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
08.05.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
22.11.2021 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-0
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
2.33 xG 0.83
20% Ball Possession 80%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
56 Passes 474
43% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow saw off Rakow Czestochowa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Cracovia Krakow made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 20% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 80%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 2.33 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.17 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Rakow Czestochowa 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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