Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 May 2024

Warta Poznan
0-1 HT 0-1
Legia Varşova
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Warta Poznan vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.25
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
11%
8.79
X/2
17%
3.95
X/X
22%
4.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.37
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Warta Poznan v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 56%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.81/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.02
-50% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
16.0 Crosses 21.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Warta Poznan vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 1-2 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
21.04.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.10.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
13.02.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-1 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
14.08.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
13.03.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-2 HT 2-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL

Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.69 xG 0.82
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
179 Passes 417
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova squeezed past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 34% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 66%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.69 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Legia Varşova?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 26%, draw 32%, Legia Varşova 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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