Widzew Lodz 1-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
1.00/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.05
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
17.4 Crosses 22.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.31
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
278 Passes 486
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
19.03.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
04.09.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
22.06.2019 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
10.03.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
29.09.2013 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-1
AWAY Lech Poznan
2.60 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
344 Passes 418
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz and Lech Poznan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 47% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 53%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.60 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.83 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?

Widzew Lodz 1-1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 30%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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