Şili (K) 0-1 Paraguay (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AKUK, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
17%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Paraguay (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.02 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 146
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2024 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
13.07.2024 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
23.10.2023 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) PANAMK
05.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili (K)
0-1
AWAY Paraguay (K)
0.20 xG 0.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
244 Passes 216
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay (K) edged past Şili (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Şili (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Şili (K) had 54% of the ball to Paraguay (K)'s 46%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.20 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Şili (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Şili (K) and 0.50 for Paraguay (K).

What was the final score of Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)?

Şili (K) 0-1 Paraguay (K) in the AKUK on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Şili (K) 51%, draw 22%, Paraguay (K) 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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