Banfield 1-3 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.66
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.28
Over 2.5
28%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.68
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
14%
8.89
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.63
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.5
X/1
18%
4.59
X/2
10%
6.56
X/X
14%
2.91
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.13
2/X
5%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
75%
-3.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
25%
+3.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-1.9pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +26%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +73%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.4 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Barracas Central
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
308 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
16.09.2024 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
15.02.2024 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
20.09.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
30.04.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
25.06.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-3
AWAY Barracas Central
2.07 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
332 Passes 185
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central beat Banfield 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Banfield at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banfield had 61% of the ball to Barracas Central's 39%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.07 to 1.11 — on chances, Banfield could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Banfield and 0.50 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Banfield 1-3 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Banfield 44%, draw 28%, Barracas Central 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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