San Lorenzo 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.16
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
16%
3.66
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
7%
6.8
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.24
-18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
21.6 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.99 xG 0.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
142 Passes 250
57% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2026 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.04 xG 0.93
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
365 Passes 360
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo squeezed past Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.04 to 0.93.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

San Lorenzo 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 48%, draw 30%, Gimnasia Mendoza 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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