Bogota 0-3 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bogota EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
0.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-99% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bogota
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
310 Passes 208
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.07.2026 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-0 Bogota Bogota KOLK
09.04.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-2 HT 0-2 Bogota Bogota CSA
19.03.2021 Bogota Bogota 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto CSA
POST-MATCH Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto swept aside Bogota 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bogota had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bogota and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?

Bogota 0-3 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Cup on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bogota 31%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOLK More Colombia - Cup
29 Jul 2026
02:15 Deportes Quindio vs Deportes Tolima Analysis →
04:30 Tigres vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →