Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Bogota — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 22 Jul 2026

Deportivo Pasto
0-1 HT 0-0
Bogota
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Bogota — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bogota EU Bookmakers 19%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.28
+145% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bogota
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
208 Passes 310
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-2 HT 0-2 Bogota Bogota CSA
19.03.2021 Bogota Bogota 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto CSA
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bogota squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Pasto carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.50 for Bogota.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota?

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Bogota in the Colombia - Cup on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 66%, draw 18%, Bogota 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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