Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportes Quindio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 22 Jul 2026

Deportes Tolima
2-1 HT 0-1
Deportes Quindio
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.49
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+4.9pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.5pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportes Tolima v Deportes Quindio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Quindio EU Bookmakers 18%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.18/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.99
-28% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportes Quindio
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.02 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
341 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.11.2021 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOL
15.04.2015 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOLK
19.03.2015 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOLK
23.07.2014 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOLK
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Deportes Quindio 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.50 for Deportes Quindio.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio?

Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportes Quindio in the Colombia - Cup on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 68%, draw 17%, Deportes Quindio 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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