America de Cali 2-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 22 Jul 2026

America de Cali
2-1 HT 1-0
Cartagena
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

America de Cali vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
66%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

America de Cali v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali edged past Cartagena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Cartagena?

America de Cali 2-1 Cartagena in the Colombia - Cup on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 69%, draw 18%, Cartagena 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOLK More Colombia - Cup
22 Jul 2026
00:00 Atletico Nacional vs Tigres Analysis →
01:00 Bogota vs Internacional Palmira Analysis →
02:00 Deportes Tolima vs Deportes Quindio Analysis →
03:00 Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota Analysis →
03:00 Once Caldas vs Envigado Analysis →