O Higgins 1-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
-33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.3 Crosses 14.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 279
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.04.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
14.09.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.04.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
25.09.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
1-1
AWAY Union La Calera
0.79 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
257 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins and Union La Calera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was O Higgins at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, O Higgins had 51% of the ball to Union La Calera's 49%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.79 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for O Higgins and 1.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Union La Calera?

O Higgins 1-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 41%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (O Higgins), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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