Philadelphia Union 0-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.19
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.36
X/2
14%
6.23
X/X
15%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
3.94
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.42
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.4 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
218 Passes 444
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
01.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.02.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
10.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
03.10.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.22 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
338 Passes 477
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew squeezed past Philadelphia Union 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 44% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.22 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Philadelphia Union 0-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 37%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →