Nakhon Pathom 0-3 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 69%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.05/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.81
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +52%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
14.0 Crosses 20.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bangkok United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.34
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
124 Passes 476
65% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0-3
AWAY Bangkok United
0.84 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
247 Passes 409
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United cruised past Nakhon Pathom 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 41% of the ball to Bangkok United's 59%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.84 to 1.57.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United?

Nakhon Pathom 0-3 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 26%, draw 24%, Bangkok United 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
29 Aug 2024
15:00 Khonkaen Utd vs Buriram United Analysis →