Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-14.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
Crosses 20.1
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1-2
AWAY Bangkok United
1.04 xG 1.34
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
124 Passes 476
65% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Nakhon Pathom 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 27% of the ball to Bangkok United's 73%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 1.04 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United?

Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 26%, draw 31%, Bangkok United 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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