Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Lamphun Warrior — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Lamphun Warrior
TAY
0-5
HT 0-2
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 2-1 Lamphun Warrior — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United nicked a narrow win over Lamphun Warrior 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 62% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 38%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.82 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.50 for Lamphun Warrior.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Muang Thong United 2-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 55%, draw 21%, Lamphun Warrior 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.