Prachuap 2-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
-30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.6 Crosses 18.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.60 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
231 Passes 255
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.08.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-3 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
2-1
AWAY Sukhothai
0.84 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
238 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap squeezed past Sukhothai 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 45% of the ball to Sukhothai's 55%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.84 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Sukhothai?

Prachuap 2-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 50%, draw 24%, Sukhothai 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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