Viktoria Köln 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.31
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
19%
5.28
X/2
9%
6.15
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.61/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.49
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.9 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
10.12.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viktoria Köln as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 53% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 47%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Viktoria Köln 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 44%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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