Viktoria Köln 1-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.9
1/2
9%
21.85
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
8.39
X/2
16%
4.36
X/X
7%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.41/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.97
+22% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.1 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln and Jahn Regensburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 38% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 62%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Viktoria Köln 1-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 32%, draw 22%, Jahn Regensburg 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jahn Regensburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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