Unterhaching 1-2 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 25% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.11
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
8%
8.47
X/2
11%
4.2
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.32
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.89/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.97
-25% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
11.04.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
25.11.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
09.05.2015 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5-1 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
08.11.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
16.04.2006 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
1-2
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
286 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden edged past Unterhaching 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 49% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 51%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Unterhaching and 1.67 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Dynamo Dresden?

Unterhaching 1-2 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 26%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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