Waldhof Mannheim 4-2 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
9%
8.13
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.45
2/2
8%
5.45
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.15
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.07.2014 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
4-2
AWAY Sandhausen
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim saw off Sandhausen 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waldhof Mannheim as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 47% of the ball to Sandhausen's 53%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.50 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Sandhausen?

Waldhof Mannheim 4-2 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 52%, draw 25%, Sandhausen 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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