First Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.83
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
5.57
X/2
12%
5.45
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
24%
3.71
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.8pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.20/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.58
+20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
29.0 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
08.11.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 3-0 HT 2-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
26.09.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-3 HT 0-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AUK
13.05.2014 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
28.03.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
18.10.2013 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Lustenau at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, First Vienna had 52% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 48%, shots finished 7-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for First Vienna and 1.33 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

First Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 31%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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