First Vienna 3-0 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
11%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
9%
5.22
X/2
16%
6.11
X/X
14%
4.76
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.11
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.42/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.58
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
25.1 Crosses 19.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-3 HT 0-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AUK
13.05.2014 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
28.03.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
18.10.2013 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
06.08.2013 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
24.05.2013 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
3-0
AWAY Austria Lustenau
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna swept aside Austria Lustenau 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day First Vienna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, First Vienna had 40% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 60%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for First Vienna and 1.50 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

First Vienna 3-0 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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