Stripfing 1-1 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.0
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
4%
13.6
X/1
18%
5.57
X/2
16%
5.2
X/X
23%
4.31
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.64
2/X
4%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stripfing EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 40%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.04/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.47
-29% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
Crosses 13.8
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stripfing
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-1 HT 1-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
22.09.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-3 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stripfing
1-1
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stripfing vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stripfing and Kapfenberger SV couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stripfing had 61% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 39%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stripfing and 3.00 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Stripfing vs Kapfenberger SV?

Stripfing 1-1 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stripfing vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stripfing 32%, draw 31%, Kapfenberger SV 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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